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Letters to Myself
Tuesday, 5 April 2005
Tommorow is the end of the world
Somebody else is worried that the world might end tommorow...
FLDS doomsday
Least of my worries, I'm thinking. Not sure I would even notice. :-(

Posted by jcobabe at 2:12 PM MDT
Updated: Tuesday, 12 April 2005 11:43 AM MDT
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Nuclear Iran
I'm indulging in some sloppy brainstorming here, honest reactions welcomed...

Nuclear Iran

While things in Iraq seem to be working themselves out, now I think its time to set off a little bomb in the Iranian nuclear project, before some of the Iranian radicals start thinking they're free to cook up nukes to use on us. There's no reason to work so hard against terrorist capability in other places while neglecting such a threat.

Here's hoping the Israelis will take charge and catch the heat. I would volunteer for an Israeli-sponsored international strike force to blow away the Iranian nuclear complex. There's no reason for terrorism to be such a one-way function.

These people developing their nuclear program have it far too easy, leveraged by borrowing existing technology from others who already bore all the risks and paid the real costs. It wouldn't take much to discourage this kind of enterprise. Rupture a few containment vessels and the site will glow in the dark for 5000 years. And billions in infrastructure investment will be untouchable.

Then let the Iranians raise a hue and cry about nuclear poisoning in their own backyard.

Posted by jcobabe at 2:02 PM MDT
Updated: Tuesday, 5 April 2005 2:05 PM MDT
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Interpreting AIDS/HIV statistics
In the course of discussion someone told me that my assertions were simply wrong.

Yah, I always am, just as a matter of policy. I find that it saves a lot of time just to start out simply wrong, instead of fumbling around with complicated complex wrongs.

As far as sparring with the numbers, I suppose you serve your own interests there. The numbers I see tell a different tale.

I was looking at Avert.org, and found data and reporting that seems to support the same kind of inconsistency I see in your views.

With regard to AIDS/HIV epidemiology -- statistics indicate that it is manifestly a disease that far disproportionaly affects blacks and homosexuals. Without those particular groups to communicate HIV, the "epidemic" does not exist. This is what the numbers show.

The numbers from Africa are staggering. 7% of the total population is infected. Two-thirds of worldwide AIDS/HIV incidence is in Africa. Some individual African countries approach 40%. Truly, this is not an epidemic, it is a decimating plague. (BTW, this also tends to skew the "worldwide" figures.) AIDS/HIV incidence in North America is reportedly 0.6%.

I found it ironic to read in the Avert reports the concern that in the US, blacks account for so much of the current incidence (12% of population, 49% of cases), but nothing to note a similar disparity for homosexuals. Rather, there was sort of a congratulatory note because a third of the currently infected are reportedly heterosexual -- a sort of inference that homosexuals don't have any more to worry about. Perhaps this is what you were trying to explain as well. But by my ballpark guestimation,the current numbers indicate that homosexuals run five to ten times higher infection risk in proportion to the rest of the population.

To me, that sounds like a disease that definitely prefers homosexual victims.

I'm not passing moral judgements about AID/HIV. But if it matters, we should at least charcterize the problem accurately.

Posted by jcobabe at 1:52 PM MDT
Updated: Tuesday, 5 April 2005 2:07 PM MDT
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Saturday, 12 March 2005
Proof

In the priesthood meeting discussion regarding the coming forth of the Book of Mormon, the subject of the witnesses was brought up. Someone asserted that it would be impossible for that many people to all experience exactly the same fantasy at the same time, with no prearragment or collaboration, and corroborate on all details.

I wondered to myself how many people would be watching the same television program that night.

What constitutes proof in one context does not necessarily suffice in another.

Posted by jcobabe at 11:01 AM MST
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Arguing with God
I've had my own arguments with the Almighty about the way things are being mis-managed. It seems that my personal plans for happiness and success don't always fit in with the eternal scheme of things. Too bad, I really did intend to share the wealth. And as far as I can see, nobody seems to be very receptive to the idea of sharing poverty.

Posted by jcobabe at 10:57 AM MST
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Safe assumptions
In the last few years it has been made painfully obvious to me that my personal predisposition and inclination are based on many rather arbitrary
assumptions. I cannot function effectively without taking a whole lot of things for granted. But because of some of the things I accepted without question, I have on occasion run face-first smack into a lot of brick walls that I assumed were doorways.

One of the areas of concern that I take for granted is that I am safe from massive secret conspiracies. The possible food conspiracy that was hinted at doesn't seem real to me, so I assume that it doesn't exist.

I have come to know, however, that my assmptions don't necessarily obtain, in all cases. Perhaps there really is a food conspiracy -- Phillip Morris and Pepsi and Coca-cola are really trying to poison me. From a pragmatists point of view, what can I do about it? Not much, I figure. So it seems a safe assumption to pretend that no such conspiracy could exist. In fact, I know that a major conspiracy has existed for decades in the formuation of addictive substances in cigarettes and cola drinks. But it is more convenient for me to ignore this evidence in the interest of a comfortable life.

What other "safe assumptions" do we make that really are not at all "safe"? We depend on countless elements to sustain our very lives. And we have no
rational reason for believing that they are dependable, other than that they have been up to now. And a track record is no assurance that we are not nearing the end of the rope.

What can we depend on, then? Virtually nothing, it seems.

Isn't that why we have faith, the evidence of things hoped for, the assurance of things not seen?

Posted by jcobabe at 10:53 AM MST
Updated: Saturday, 12 March 2005 11:04 AM MST
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Friday, 11 March 2005
So soon forgotten?

Bored and sick today, I started making a survey of attitudes reflected in news and blogs. How remarkable it is to me that we so soon forget. I suppose human memory is merciful in this regard. Otherwise the pain from hurtful memories should be constant and unremitting.

I looked at photos of people falling from the burning WTC buildings, and was reminded of my feelings on the day of that horrifying event. I renew my assertion that we cannot afford to live in the same world with people who can contemplate such acts, who have the will and the resources to commit such atrocities.

I believe progress has been made in correcting that problem. While the means we have used to forward that undertaking are as distressing as the problem they intend to correct, I believe the motivation which moves us makes all the difference.

When bombs and bullets are being flung about, it is difficult to identify the higher moral and ethical considerations that prompted us to escalate this conflict. Yet our purposes remain the same, as do those of our antagonists. To me it is only a small sample of the continuing battle between good and evil.

Posted by jcobabe at 6:55 PM MST
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Wednesday, 2 March 2005
Mission of secular community education
Liberal college administrators justify their own misrepresentation of community interests--
UVSC Editorial
The author acknowledges that UVSC is growing because more students cannot get accepted at BYU. In the same breath he denies that UVSC fills the gap.

Posted by jcobabe at 4:42 PM MST
Updated: Tuesday, 5 April 2005 2:17 PM MDT
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Saturday, 29 January 2005
Border patrol vigilantes
Want to join a vigilante gang on the Arizona border, help clean up the west for our wives and daughters? Check out the Minuteman Project, "http://minutemanproject.com".

The organizer says it will only cost one or two thousand dollars for you to go camp out on the border for a month. You can assist the US Border Patrol in apprehending illegal aliens trying to cross the desert into Arizona.

It might be fun to join the mob. I'd like to pass out Gatorade.

Posted by jcobabe at 10:01 AM MST
Updated: Saturday, 29 January 2005 10:03 AM MST
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Tuesday, 25 January 2005
Political duplicity
What should it mean to persons of integrity when gainsaying and blatant liars accuse them of lying? It is such an ironic accusation to be confronted with -- anyone with a shred of decency has to be set back pretty hard when faced with such a public accusation.

Anyone following the national news scene over the past couple of weeks knows what I'm referring to.

There was a time recently when I felt like some point of irreconcilable tension had finally been relieved. I think the sense of resolution started to coalesce when Sen Kerry refused to continue in post-election fighting.

Today I see that this situation is not resolved, nor is it soon likely to be. All the extreme liberal political hacks have only been waiting in the wings to renew their spiteful and frenzied diatribes. They will store up venom and bide their time, trying to expell their noxious fumes in public scenes where the stink will be most obnoxious, and where they hope to gain the greatest notoriety.

There is no honor in this political machine. After the inauguration speech, I felt hopeful and buoyed up. Today I just feel depressed again. The liars are winning by the Iago approach.


Posted by jcobabe at 9:02 PM MST
Updated: Tuesday, 25 January 2005 9:10 PM MST
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